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What next for the Earls Court project?

In December last year a seven-page document from Pall Mall planning consultants DP9 was submitted to City Hall in response to Sadiq Khan’s call for ideas about building A City for All Londoners. DP9 were representing their client EC Properties LP on behalf of property development giant Capital and Counties Properties PLC – Capco for short – in connection with one of London’s largest and most controversial redevelopment schemes, often known as the Earls Court Project.

“Capco envisage moving forward with the Mayor and a wide range of stakeholders during the first half of 2017 on a review of the Earls Court masterplan,” the document from DP9 says. It explained that initial work to this end had already demonstrated that an “optimised” rendering of the scheme could result in the building of at least 10,000 new places to live in the area rather than the 7,500-8,000 previously envisaged, with more jobs, green space and other good things created too. These endeavours had been “inspired by A City For All Londoners,” wrote DP9. Are they inspiring the Mayor?

Khan was critical of the Earls Court project during his election campaign for the very low percentage of additional affordable homes it proposed for the development area – just 11% of the total number of extra dwellings given permission for in 2013, on top of replacements for 760 in two local estates that are lined up for demolition. The scheme has already seen the closure and destruction of the famous Earls Court exhibition centre. New properties have been constructed and sold on its former car park nearby, but progress has been slow and Capco revealed in its latest annual report, published in February, that the value of the project as a whole as had fallen by 20% over the previous year. Khan promised to review the scheme as a whole if elected.

The DP9 submission shows that the process of review is effectively underway. There will certainly have been communication between the developer and City Hall about its progress. That is normal for major projects of this kind and the fact that public bodies and public land are involved give this one additional significance for Mayor Khan, who has a long-term goal of raising the affordable percentage of new homes across Greater London up to 50%. That may help explain why a revised – or enhanced or optimised – masterplan is, I understand, still some way off being completed. It will also be of keen interest to several other important interested parties.

As this enormous and very complex enterprise enters a new phase, here are some key facts and factors to keep in mind.

The above issues alone illustrate that much of what has gone before in the Earls Court Project story may have to be disentangled and made to fit with the policies of senior London Labour politicians who’ve come to power since that story began – policies with different objectives. Throw in the cross-party concerns of Kensington and Chelsea, the continuing endeavours of the estate anti-demolition campaign and the cooling of the high-end of the property market and it is clear that a great deal is still opaque. I covered the Earls Court Project for the Guardian from 2009 until my column there was euthenised in January. This article marks the continuation of that coverage here. More to come…

This article was updated on 4 May 2017 to include its reference to Capco’s annual report. 

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